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ARI vs NLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc (ARI) and Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) carry a correlation of 0.65, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.65
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.29
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.73
long-run
Ann. covariance
356.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARI and NLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the ARI/NLY correlation comes out at 0.65, strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.29) runs below the 3-year figure (0.65). The 5-year figure is 0.73, and annualized covariance runs at 356.6 %².

By 3-year correlation, NLY places #5 of the 10 assets tracked against ARI. On 12-month performance NLY holds a 14.0-point edge, +11.4% against +25.4%.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARI vs NLY: side by side

ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc)NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.)
1-year return+11.4%+25.4%
5-year return+21.3%+30.4%
Volatility (ann.)23.8%22.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.81
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.7%-26.3%
Market cap$0.9B$17.4B
P/E (trailing)8.55.6
Dividend yield14.68%12.47%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: NLY 5.6 vs 8.5Higher yield: ARI 14.68% vs 12.47%Smaller drawdown: ARI -24.7% vs -26.3%Higher 5y return: NLY +30.4% vs +21.3%
-10%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ARI · NLY

Year-by-year returns

YearARINLY
2022-7.1%-21.4%
2023+24.5%+4.9%
2024-16.5%+8.1%
2025+23.8%+40.0%
2026+13.3%+10.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARI and NLY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.65 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARI and NLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ARI and NLY is 0.65 over 3 years, 0.29 over 1 year and 0.73 over 5 years.

Is NLY a good diversifier for ARI?

To a limited degree. At 0.65 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.65 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ari-vs-nly.json

ARI vs NLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.65ARI vs NLY0.65

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARI correlations · NLY correlations