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AOS vs XLB: Correlation

How closely do A. O. Smith (AOS) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.66, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.66
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.69
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
258.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AOS and XLB?

Over the past 3 years, AOS and XLB moved with a correlation of 0.66, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.69 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.65, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 258.6 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against AOS, XLB ranks #4 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLB ahead by 30.2 points (-12.6% versus +17.6%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.56 and 0.72 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AOS vs XLB: side by side

AOS (A. O. Smith)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-12.6%+17.6%
5-year return-6.7%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)23.5%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.670.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.9%-23.2%
Market cap$8.4B
P/E (trailing)17.4
Dividend yield2.27%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: AOS 2.27% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -36.9%Higher 5y return: XLB +36.9% vs -6.7%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-23%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). AOS · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearAOSXLB
2022-32.1%-12.3%
2023+46.7%+12.5%
2024-15.9%+0.1%
2025+0.1%+9.9%
2026-5.8%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AOS and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.66 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AOS and XLB?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AOS and XLB is 0.66 over 3 years, 0.69 over 1 year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for AOS?

To a limited degree. At 0.66 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.66 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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AOS vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.66AOS vs XLB0.66

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AOS correlations · XLB correlations