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AJG vs PAYX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Paychex (PAYX) carry a correlation of 0.50, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.50
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
265.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AJG and PAYX?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of AJG and PAYX correlate at 0.50, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.56) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.54, with an annualized covariance of 265.3 %².

Among the 32 assets we track against AJG, PAYX ranks #14 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives PAYX the advantage: -11.9% versus -4.8%, a 7.1-point spread. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.05 and 0.60 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AJG vs PAYX: side by side

AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.)PAYX (Paychex)
1-year return-11.9%-4.8%
5-year return+91.1%+29.0%
Volatility (ann.)25.0%21.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.360.47
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.4%-45.0%
Market cap$66.7B$45.0B
P/E (trailing)43.125.5
Dividend yield1.02%0.00%
Sector / categoryFinancialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: PAYX 25.5 vs 43.1Higher yield: AJG 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: AJG -44.4% vs -45.0%Higher 5y return: AJG +91.1% vs +29.0%
-36%0%+4%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. AJG · PAYX

Year-by-year returns

YearAJGPAYX
2022+12.4%-13.2%
2023+20.5%+6.2%
2024+27.3%+21.3%
2025-8.0%-17.5%
2026+1.2%+16.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AJG and PAYX good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means AJG and PAYX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AJG and PAYX?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AJG and PAYX is 0.50 over 3 years, 0.56 over 1 year and 0.54 over 5 years.

Is PAYX a good diversifier for AJG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means AJG and PAYX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.50 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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AJG vs PAYX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.50AJG vs PAYX0.50

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Hubs: AJG correlations · PAYX correlations