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AJG vs CAT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) carry a correlation of -0.20, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.20
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.04
long-run
Ann. covariance
-145.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AJG and CAT?

On 3 years of weekly data the AJG/CAT correlation comes out at -0.20, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.43) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.20). The 5-year figure is 0.04, and annualized covariance runs at -145.9 %².

Among the 32 assets we track against AJG, CAT ranks #22 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: CAT led by 102.4 percentage points, -11.9% for AJG against +90.5% for CAT. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.39 and 0.54 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AJG vs CAT: side by side

AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.)CAT (Caterpillar Inc.)
1-year return-11.9%+90.5%
5-year return+91.1%+321.1%
Volatility (ann.)25.0%29.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.361.03
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.4%-34.0%
Market cap$66.7B$375.6B
P/E (trailing)43.135.3
Dividend yield1.02%0.75%
Sector / categoryFinancialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: CAT 35.3 vs 43.1Higher yield: AJG 1.02% vs 0.75%Smaller drawdown: CAT -34.0% vs -44.4%Higher 5y return: CAT +321.1% vs +91.1%
-33%0%+137%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. AJG · CAT

Year-by-year returns

YearAJGCAT
2022+12.4%+18.6%
2023+20.5%+25.9%
2024+27.3%+24.7%
2025-8.0%+60.3%
2026+1.2%+43.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AJG and CAT good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.20 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AJG and CAT?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AJG and CAT is -0.20 over 3 years, -0.43 over 1 year and 0.04 over 5 years.

Is CAT a good diversifier for AJG?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.20 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.20 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.20 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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AJG vs CAT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.20AJG vs CAT-0.20

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Hubs: AJG correlations · CAT correlations