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AEO vs USO: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) and United States Oil Fund (USO) carry a correlation of -0.26, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.19
long-run
Ann. covariance
-554.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AEO and USO?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of AEO and USO correlate at -0.26, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.40) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.26). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.19, with an annualized covariance of -554.1 %².

Among the 14 assets we track against AEO, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #12. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 44.4 percentage points, +29.7% for AEO against +74.1% for USO.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AEO vs USO: side by side

AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+29.7%+74.1%
5-year return-39.1%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)54.2%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.21-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-63.1%-32.5%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)10.5
Dividend yield2.84%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -63.1%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs -39.1%
-23%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). AEO · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearAEOUSO
2022-43.4%+29.0%
2023+54.9%-4.9%
2024-19.3%+13.4%
2025+64.7%-8.5%
2026-35.5%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AEO and USO good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.26 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AEO and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.26 over 3 years, with -0.40 over the last year and -0.19 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for AEO?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.26 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

A reading of -0.26 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/aeo-vs-uso.json

AEO vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26AEO vs USO-0.26

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AEO correlations · USO correlations