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ADP vs XLI: Correlation

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.30.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.30
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
-0.14
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.49
long-run
Ann. covariance
101.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ADP and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the ADP/XLI correlation comes out at 0.30, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.14) than the 3-year average (0.30). The 5-year figure is 0.49, and annualized covariance runs at 101.4 %².

Within ADP's tracked universe of 43 assets, XLI comes in at #32 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLI ahead by 21.8 points (-3.5% versus +18.3%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.09 and 0.75 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ADP vs XLI: side by side

ADP (Automatic Data Processing)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-3.5%+18.3%
5-year return+52.0%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)21.7%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.530.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-40.8%-18.5%
Market cap$113.1B
P/E (trailing)26.0
Dividend yield2.36%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: ADP 2.36% vs 1.15%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -40.8%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +52.0%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-35%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ADP · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearADPXLI
2022-1.3%-5.6%
2023-0.2%+18.1%
2024+28.4%+17.3%
2025-10.2%+19.3%
2026+12.4%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 1.98% of XLI is ADP itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are ADP and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.30, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ADP and XLI?

The ADP/XLI correlation stands at 0.30 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.14, 5 years: 0.49), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLI a good diversifier for ADP?

A fair diversifier. At 0.30, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.30 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/adp-vs-xli.json

ADP vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.30ADP vs XLI0.30

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ADP correlations · XLI correlations