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ACA vs MDY: Correlation

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.68.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.68
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.44
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
355.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ACA and MDY?

On 3 years of weekly data the ACA/MDY correlation comes out at 0.68, strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.44) than the 3-year average (0.68). The 5-year figure is 0.61, and annualized covariance runs at 355.8 %².

In ACA's tracked universe of 23 assets, MDY sits right near the top at #2. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ACA outperformed by 28.7 percentage points (+47.0% for ACA against +18.3% for MDY). Note the risk asymmetry: ACA runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ACA vs MDY: side by side

ACA (Arcosa, Inc.)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+47.0%+18.3%
5-year return+186.5%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)31.9%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.230.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.6%-24.0%
Market cap$7.1B
P/E (trailing)32.5
Dividend yield0.14%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.14%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -36.6%Higher 5y return: ACA +186.5% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+49%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ACA · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearACAMDY
2022+3.5%-13.3%
2023+52.5%+16.1%
2024+17.3%+13.6%
2025+10.2%+7.2%
2026+37.0%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ACA and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.68 means ACA and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ACA and MDY?

The ACA/MDY correlation stands at 0.68 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.44, 5 years: 0.61), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MDY a good diversifier for ACA?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.68 means ACA and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.68 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.68 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ACA vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.68ACA vs MDY0.68

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Hubs: ACA correlations · MDY correlations